Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 11.398627 13.140180 15.001130 17.131206 19.495257 22.031941 24.952936
2025-02-16 8.673127 10.855087 13.334932 16.340375 19.861570 23.833418 28.628311
2025-02-23 7.081449 9.508185 12.413011 16.102071 20.614902 25.907100 32.530084
2025-03-02 5.822749 8.341760 11.502614 15.687080 21.001658 27.443995 35.753039
2025-03-09 4.946584 7.520160 10.890082 15.518385 21.591336 29.164161 39.182097
2025-03-16 4.167862 6.715264 10.191050 15.133897 21.819283 30.374846 41.955644
2025-03-23 3.681803 6.250398 9.885675 15.214914 22.613302 32.291921 45.647560
2025-03-30 3.233478 5.780411 9.516236 15.155337 23.179793 33.896018 48.949880
2025-04-06 2.916178 5.468424 9.336516 15.331074 24.050888 35.908719 52.827563
2025-04-13 2.638847 5.184312 9.165726 15.492307 24.887001 37.879744 56.685949
2025-04-20 2.459056 5.038243 9.187555 15.927906 26.118633 40.418893 61.373956
2025-04-27 2.270048 4.852984 9.127290 16.224004 27.144392 42.687032 65.735088
2025-05-04 2.038072 4.567211 8.884090 16.223012 27.731525 44.359494 69.328449
2025-05-11 1.715506 4.072259 8.248192 15.550203 27.258235 44.473697 70.703011
2025-05-18 1.512292 3.777646 7.925046 15.355173 27.496206 45.614286 73.556481
2025-05-25 1.305978 3.447388 7.507369 14.969209 27.404959 46.248603 75.674717
2025-06-01 1.155681 3.211953 7.238249 14.812185 27.660690 47.396936 78.559633
2025-06-08 0.997441 2.934843 6.864420 14.443913 27.547395 47.967535 80.586983
2025-06-15 0.907723 2.799778 6.749386 14.522876 28.166146 49.671594 84.340562
2025-06-22 0.813116 2.638493 6.567344 14.465831 28.548197 51.009528 87.562195
2025-06-29 0.749706 2.544332 6.511734 14.635333 29.315503 52.966952 91.764751
2025-07-06 0.690717 2.452358 6.451966 14.790784 30.059592 54.900922 95.966407
2025-07-13 0.658540 2.426860 6.529997 15.210684 31.274606 57.614542 101.426020